Short-Term Rainfall Prediction Using Supervised Machine Learning

Abstract

Floods and rain significantly impact the economy of many agricultural countries in the world. Early prediction of rain and floods can dramatically help prevent natural disaster damage. This paper presents a machine learning and data-driven method that can accurately predict short-term rainfall. Various machine learning classification algorithms have been implemented on an Australian weather dataset to train and develop an accurate and reliable model. To choose the best suitable prediction model, diverse machine learning algorithms have been applied for classification as well. Eventually, the performance of the models has been compared based on standard performance measurement metrics. The finding shows that the hist gradient boosting classifier has given the highest accuracy of 91%, with a good F1 value and receiver operating characteristic, the area under the curve score.