Abstract:
The aim of this study is to
analyze the trend of spreading out coronavirus
(COVID-19) for the second wave attack in
Bangladesh during this winter season. In this
study, we included all reported new confirmed and
death cases from March 30 to December 14, 2020.
Our intension is to explore the trend of dispersion
in infected and death cases after January, 2021. In
this paper, we have conducted statistical analysis
of Covid-19 in Bangladesh to deliver with reliable
and perfect forecasts of the outbreak. We used MS
excel and SPSS software for regression analysis
and found the slope of the trendline of the data
and R-squared value for both infected and death
cases. The new confirmed cases gradually increase
with date (from March, 30 to June) and reach
towards the peak for first wave attack. We get the
slope of the trendline for infected case which is
increasing first as 2 47.562, 0.8799 R and
decreasing later as 2 20.709, 0.6816 R (from July
to September) for first wave. After then again, the
slope is increasing. Death cases are also following
the same trend pattern. This analysis may help to
take significant role for securing public health for
Bangladeshi people. In this situation, Bangladesh
needs to take emergency management system to
protect the attack of the virus which we going to
face for second wave. As well as people should
concern about the guidelines provided by IEDCR
and WHO up to get vaccine.